The reporter learned from the Provincial Agricultural Information Center that in the third quarter, except for the continued weakness of cotton, the prices of major agricultural products in Shandong have generally risen. Among them, the early wheat period slightly increased slightly in the later period, and the prices of corn and eggs quickly rose. The prices of peanuts, pigs and pork soared and prices of vegetables and fertilizers rose steadily. Although the price of grain rose significantly, the year-on-year increase was still far below the fertilizer.
The market performance of wheat in the third quarter was flat, with prices slightly rising in the early period. The average price in the third quarter was 1.086 yuan/kg, which was a slight decrease of 1.17% (compared with the second quarter, the same below), and was up 2.37% year-on-year (compared with the same period of last year, the same below). From July to mid-August, due to the impact of the new wheat market, the number of buyers in the market decreased and demand was weak, showing a cautious approach to buying, reluctant to sell, and the purchase and sale of light, the price continues to decline slightly. Since late August, the supply has gradually decreased, and the increase in flour demand has stimulated the enthusiasm of the market. At the same time, the high price of corn and the market’s bullish expectations have contributed to a slight increase in the price of wheat.
On September 28, the country decided to continue to implement the minimum purchase price policy in the main wheat producing areas and increase the minimum purchase price in 2012. The minimum purchase prices for white wheat (third class), red wheat, and mixed wheat were raised to 50 kg each. 102 yuan, increase 7 cents per kilogram, 9 cents, 9 cents. The center predicts that the increase in the minimum purchase price of wheat will further increase the bottom space for wheat prices and strengthen the bullish expectations, which will support the rise of wheat prices, especially the medium and long-term prices. However, the wheat market has sufficient supply. Under the background of state-controlled price, the price does not have the conditions for soaring. It is expected that the market will focus on modest increases.
In the third quarter, corn continued its upward trend since the beginning of this year, and prices continued to rise, and the rate increased. The average price in the third quarter was 1.164 yuan/kg, up 8.56% month-on-month and 16.92% year-on-year. According to analysis, the contradiction between supply and demand is still the main reason for the sharp increase in corn prices this quarter, corn processing companies and feed companies despite the price increase, but still unable to meet demand, corn "has no market price." Under the current trend of high corn prices, the market is generally expected that the price of new corn will be suppressed before the market rises, but the upside is limited. First, this year's corn is expected to be harvested. The listing of new corn will ease the contradiction between supply and demand in the market. In the short term, the price of corn will weaken. Second, strong demand, corn processing companies are generally optimistic about the market outlook, the price is expected to hardly have a big drop.
In addition, millet prices fell first and then rose. The average price in the third quarter was 3.52 yuan/kg, up by 0.91% from the previous quarter and up by 10.34% year-on-year. The price of glutinous rice continued to rise, but it was smaller. The average price in the third quarter was 2.53 yuan/kg, up by 4.31% month-on-month and up 15.3% year-on-year.
Peanuts in the cash crop rose at the end of July, and prices began to fall slightly, but they were still significantly higher than the level of the previous year. The average price of peanuts in the third quarter was 7.53 yuan/kg, up 21.87% month-on-month and up 57% year-on-year. Too few listings, too high peanut prices make the peanut market wait-and-see atmosphere and fewer transactions. After the new peanuts are listed, it is more likely that the purchase price will decline. Soybean prices were basically stable with slight fluctuations. The average price in the third quarter was 2.64 yuan/kg, up 1.57% month-on-month and 4.05% year-on-year. Soybean prices are expected to rise steadily. First, the US soybean market continues to push up prices due to concerns about production. Second, the domestic market will increase in the medium and long-term soybean prices due to the decline in output, better demand, and the government's expectations of purchasing and storage. Mainly.
The price of seed cotton fell slightly in July and fell sharply in August. In late August, the cotton price rebounded at the national reserve price of 19,800 yuan/ton, and at the end of September, the market price of new cotton fell slightly. The average price of seed cotton in the third quarter was 4.12 yuan/kg, down by 7.96% from the previous quarter and down by 21.74% from the same period of last year. Although the price of seed cotton has fallen repeatedly since the second quarter of this year, the current cotton price has fallen by nearly half compared with the highest price of the previous year and continues to be weak, but demand is still not strong.
In the third quarter, the wholesale price of vegetables continued to rise, and the rate expanded from month to month. The wholesale price of vegetables in the months of July, August and August increased by 1.00%, 2.80%, and 11.70% respectively from the previous month. The average wholesale price of 35 vegetables monitored was 1.44 yuan/kg, up 1.91% month on month and down 7.18% year-on-year. On the whole, the level of vegetable wholesale prices in the third quarter was lower than that of the same period of last year, which was mainly due to the price drop of some varieties such as garlic and ginger. The price of most vegetable varieties was still higher than the level of the same period of last year.
The average price of live pigs in livestock and poultry products in the third quarter was 9.39 yuan/kg, up 19.04% month-on-month and up 55.25% year-on-year. The price of live pigs soared and fell. In July, the price rise continued this year and the price continued to rise and hit a record high. In August and September, under the influence of increasing hog supply and national regulation, prices began to slowly decline, but prices remained unchanged. Staying high, showing a high steady state trend. The price trend of pork is basically the same as that of live pigs. It is expected that pork prices will hardly fall sharply in the fourth quarter under the support of rigid feed cost support and consumption. The average price of eggs in the third quarter was 4.82 yuan/kg, up 14.03% month-on-month and up 20.74% year-on-year. After the Mid-Autumn Festival, egg prices fell slightly due to weak consumption.
The average price of urea in agricultural products in the third quarter was 2,260.58 yuan per ton, which was 7.38% higher than that in the previous period and 30.67% year-on-year. Compound fertilizer prices continue to rise significantly. The average price in the third quarter was 3,146.10 yuan/ton, which was a 4.29% increase from the previous quarter and 21.99% year-on-year. The price of diammonium phosphate rose steadily and the average price in the third quarter was 3500.81 yuan/ton, up 3.10% month on month and 15.57% year-on-year.
The market performance of wheat in the third quarter was flat, with prices slightly rising in the early period. The average price in the third quarter was 1.086 yuan/kg, which was a slight decrease of 1.17% (compared with the second quarter, the same below), and was up 2.37% year-on-year (compared with the same period of last year, the same below). From July to mid-August, due to the impact of the new wheat market, the number of buyers in the market decreased and demand was weak, showing a cautious approach to buying, reluctant to sell, and the purchase and sale of light, the price continues to decline slightly. Since late August, the supply has gradually decreased, and the increase in flour demand has stimulated the enthusiasm of the market. At the same time, the high price of corn and the market’s bullish expectations have contributed to a slight increase in the price of wheat.
On September 28, the country decided to continue to implement the minimum purchase price policy in the main wheat producing areas and increase the minimum purchase price in 2012. The minimum purchase prices for white wheat (third class), red wheat, and mixed wheat were raised to 50 kg each. 102 yuan, increase 7 cents per kilogram, 9 cents, 9 cents. The center predicts that the increase in the minimum purchase price of wheat will further increase the bottom space for wheat prices and strengthen the bullish expectations, which will support the rise of wheat prices, especially the medium and long-term prices. However, the wheat market has sufficient supply. Under the background of state-controlled price, the price does not have the conditions for soaring. It is expected that the market will focus on modest increases.
In the third quarter, corn continued its upward trend since the beginning of this year, and prices continued to rise, and the rate increased. The average price in the third quarter was 1.164 yuan/kg, up 8.56% month-on-month and 16.92% year-on-year. According to analysis, the contradiction between supply and demand is still the main reason for the sharp increase in corn prices this quarter, corn processing companies and feed companies despite the price increase, but still unable to meet demand, corn "has no market price." Under the current trend of high corn prices, the market is generally expected that the price of new corn will be suppressed before the market rises, but the upside is limited. First, this year's corn is expected to be harvested. The listing of new corn will ease the contradiction between supply and demand in the market. In the short term, the price of corn will weaken. Second, strong demand, corn processing companies are generally optimistic about the market outlook, the price is expected to hardly have a big drop.
In addition, millet prices fell first and then rose. The average price in the third quarter was 3.52 yuan/kg, up by 0.91% from the previous quarter and up by 10.34% year-on-year. The price of glutinous rice continued to rise, but it was smaller. The average price in the third quarter was 2.53 yuan/kg, up by 4.31% month-on-month and up 15.3% year-on-year.
Peanuts in the cash crop rose at the end of July, and prices began to fall slightly, but they were still significantly higher than the level of the previous year. The average price of peanuts in the third quarter was 7.53 yuan/kg, up 21.87% month-on-month and up 57% year-on-year. Too few listings, too high peanut prices make the peanut market wait-and-see atmosphere and fewer transactions. After the new peanuts are listed, it is more likely that the purchase price will decline. Soybean prices were basically stable with slight fluctuations. The average price in the third quarter was 2.64 yuan/kg, up 1.57% month-on-month and 4.05% year-on-year. Soybean prices are expected to rise steadily. First, the US soybean market continues to push up prices due to concerns about production. Second, the domestic market will increase in the medium and long-term soybean prices due to the decline in output, better demand, and the government's expectations of purchasing and storage. Mainly.
The price of seed cotton fell slightly in July and fell sharply in August. In late August, the cotton price rebounded at the national reserve price of 19,800 yuan/ton, and at the end of September, the market price of new cotton fell slightly. The average price of seed cotton in the third quarter was 4.12 yuan/kg, down by 7.96% from the previous quarter and down by 21.74% from the same period of last year. Although the price of seed cotton has fallen repeatedly since the second quarter of this year, the current cotton price has fallen by nearly half compared with the highest price of the previous year and continues to be weak, but demand is still not strong.
In the third quarter, the wholesale price of vegetables continued to rise, and the rate expanded from month to month. The wholesale price of vegetables in the months of July, August and August increased by 1.00%, 2.80%, and 11.70% respectively from the previous month. The average wholesale price of 35 vegetables monitored was 1.44 yuan/kg, up 1.91% month on month and down 7.18% year-on-year. On the whole, the level of vegetable wholesale prices in the third quarter was lower than that of the same period of last year, which was mainly due to the price drop of some varieties such as garlic and ginger. The price of most vegetable varieties was still higher than the level of the same period of last year.
The average price of live pigs in livestock and poultry products in the third quarter was 9.39 yuan/kg, up 19.04% month-on-month and up 55.25% year-on-year. The price of live pigs soared and fell. In July, the price rise continued this year and the price continued to rise and hit a record high. In August and September, under the influence of increasing hog supply and national regulation, prices began to slowly decline, but prices remained unchanged. Staying high, showing a high steady state trend. The price trend of pork is basically the same as that of live pigs. It is expected that pork prices will hardly fall sharply in the fourth quarter under the support of rigid feed cost support and consumption. The average price of eggs in the third quarter was 4.82 yuan/kg, up 14.03% month-on-month and up 20.74% year-on-year. After the Mid-Autumn Festival, egg prices fell slightly due to weak consumption.
The average price of urea in agricultural products in the third quarter was 2,260.58 yuan per ton, which was 7.38% higher than that in the previous period and 30.67% year-on-year. Compound fertilizer prices continue to rise significantly. The average price in the third quarter was 3,146.10 yuan/ton, which was a 4.29% increase from the previous quarter and 21.99% year-on-year. The price of diammonium phosphate rose steadily and the average price in the third quarter was 3500.81 yuan/ton, up 3.10% month on month and 15.57% year-on-year.
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