According to the National Food and Drug Administration, the medical device market in 2017 continued its high growth trend in recent years. In 2011-2016, the annual average compound growth rate of China's medical technology and medical device industry revenues was as high as 20.7%, much higher than the annual average compound growth rate of around 3% in the world. In 2016, China's medical device market is about 370 billion yuan. It is estimated that the market size will reach 600 billion yuan in 2019. Among them, imaging equipment, in vitro diagnostics and high-value consumables occupy the top three of the medical device market, accounting for 19%, 16% and 13% of the total market size respectively.
In the medical device sub-sector we systematically combed, the following six innovative medical device directions will bring a disruptive revolution to the medical market.
(1) Cardiovascular and cerebrovascular sub-sector
There are relatively many hotspots, and the stent is no longer the focus of our attention. The focus of innovation is on transcatheter valve intervention, coronary heart disease diagnostic equipment, cardiac pacemaker, drug balloon, radiofrequency ablation device and cardiac occluder. Wait a few directions.
(2) Imaging equipment sub-industry
For general-purpose large-scale equipment, such as CT, magnetic resonance, PET-CT, etc., there are few excellent early-stage projects and the valuation is high. With the advent of high-end imaging equipment manufacturers, the new imaging companies that have not yet formed their own models have insufficient growth space under the GPS and internal links. We are more optimistic about the imaging equipment in the subdivision, especially the subdivided areas of unique hardware and artificial intelligence algorithms with their own application scenarios, such as breast ultrasound, dental cone beam CT and other directions. In addition, we are also optimistic about the upstream companies that master core technologies such as core technologies.
(3) Tumor-related equipment sub-sector
Tumor ablation devices that have been hot for some time, including freezing, radio frequency, microwave and laser, are no longer available. In the field of radiotherapy, it takes a long time for domestic companies to make breakthroughs in proton heavy ion technology. The enterprise of electronic linear accelerators deserves attention, but it is necessary to focus on the ability to develop and produce high-energy machines. Based on the limitations of its own technology, the gamma knife has limited market space and is not the investment direction we are concerned about. In addition, in recent years, tumor intervention has grown rapidly, and new drug-loaded microspheres are worthy of attention. Microsphere delivery system consumables may be a new market growth point in the future, but the technology is not yet fully mature.
(4) Surgical and orthopedic equipment sub-sector
Surgery robots are undoubtedly still one of the important directions. However, in recent years, due to the excessive pursuit of capital, the phenomenon of price deviation from value is more serious. 3D printing combined with biomaterials is one of the most optimistic directions.
(5) Medical artificial intelligence sub-industry
Medical artificial intelligence is the direction of future medical development. Compared with other industries, the medical industry has a good foundation for artificial intelligence applications, and the medical industry has obvious pain points, such as lack of high-end medical talents, unbalanced resource distribution, and high medical costs. The data is highly electronic, the data is concentrated, and the quality is high. More application scenarios can achieve relative standardization, such as medical imaging. Based on current observations, the artificial intelligence of medical imaging and medical virtual assistants will be relatively mature, and some of the targets are worthy of attention.
(6) Sub-industry diagnosis
Molecular diagnostics and real-time testing (POCT) remain the main direction of innovation. In molecular diagnostics, big data and artificial intelligence will change the overall molecular diagnostic landscape. For example, sequencing services for gene sequencing are facing a new round of shuffling, and companies with their own databases, core algorithms and clinical interpretation capabilities will have a chance to break through. Localization of related reagents upstream of gene sequencing will also be an important opportunity. Concomitant diagnosis of tumors Currently, market education is basically mature, and it is one of the directions worth investing.
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